An economist’s year-end summary: wear a mask cannot kiss you, tearing the mask I can’t breathe. Surging pregnancy induced hypertension information
2015 will soon be over, this year with mixed feelings.
In recent years more and more intellectuals, Economist at 2015 seems particularly special. Some already in the legislature, also under the eaves, some from deep gardens, some from the vast lakes, birth classes, having risen from, some have been professional, suddenly across borders. Government, business, needless to say, society is also a cinch, even the school has been known for other systems such as political science, history, and so on “big brother” have openings on the economy. Economy, should be the most popular of that slogan, is really popular and original, much innovation.
This situation generally have three possible. One is the economy is too hot, who can’t resist a few words.
One is economic it so people suffering, forbearance. Not … … Anyone for a few sentences.
One is the economy is hard to say who? Live (the mouth) for a few words.
Of course, apart from this, if possible, is too bad to say, have to endure, who could not help, he went to the economy a few words here.
Very complicated world
In 2015, China has made considerable progress in the international arena. RMB into SDR, Asian Investment Bank established United States to raise interest rates despite no malicious crashing our quiet good.
However, whether it is true that years of quiet? Heard in a forum, some experts “who are hostile forces” sparks badaoxiangxiang. From political talk about finally falls on the economy in the end of history.
It is. The Fed raised interest rates has the United States been aggressive back, breaking plays on people’s anticipation of dollars has been in decline. The Fed raise interest rates during a meeting
Made the commitment that United States remains powerful people won my heart, affectionate said the world will return to the United States dominate the landscape of man, we bowed to each other, on the traffic separation schemes.
Can see that from this year’s geo-political conflict, 2015 is very special, small, bold, big carefully which emerge, condemning all but little real, everyone was very restrained. This is a sign of global multi-polarization continues to deepen, is the result of world economic outlook remains uncertain. States, in order to maximize the benefits of their, bide your time, waiting to move.
United States as well. It is not dying, it is no longer booming.
No substance is meaningless
Between China, needs to recognize its own position and orientation. United States power has profound accumulation, it’s strong ability to internal clearing and repair. There must be a clear understanding, we and the United States, whether in hard or soft power, there is a considerable gap. China is a rising power, but a powerful China still has a long way to go. Bring a multipolar and voids may seek more development opportunities in China and time. But it should be noted that China’s geopolitical environment is not so good, either defense or political fronts for a long, public safety, and therefore need plenty of preparation and solid foundation to guarantee the stability of the national development strategy.
In fact, scholars cannot be too academic. Hostile forces always exist, weak national strength and control disorders, control lost, heaven is my enemy hostile forces do not exist, national greatness, perfection, maturity, all this land is full of friends.
2015 tells us that international competition, the country is a natural symbiosis, and economic power base. Storehouses: real, knowing etiquette, the sluggish economy, insufficient food and clothing, spirit, doctrine, morality, honor has become very pale. This is probably the reason why all scholars to talk about the economy, no substance, is meaningless.
This year, China also took a lot of things.
Stock market into focus. This table now, no matter what happens, there will be a lot written description of its impact on the stock market. What does falling down, exchange rate adjustment is also calculated, even the Yuan enters SDR, United States interest rates, changes in China’s foreign exchange reserves are not want to ridicule, but includes international terrorist attack or visit the associated events can also be analyzed, and the stock market.
This, this, this, was because of cerebral sulci and Gyri directly or because of reflex arc is too long?
Of course, it’s easier to understand, for example “reform cow” concepts, such as how will appear. Also easier to understand “leverage Bull” How come, roll and go for a ride the dust.
The devaluation of the Renminbi, and panic. Some people say, will reduce the mess, while others say, remain strong forever strong. Decline in foreign exchange reserves, and panic. Some people say, the National Treasury, other people say, not empty never empty. In fact, just not long ago, the appreciation of RMB and foreign exchange reserves continued to increase, did you ever panic? Exchange rate movements is common enough, and reserves is not waste, but not to waste. Market-oriented environment, everything can be tools, everything can be a weapon at the same time, all the Defense could hurt yourself because of too passive, all attacks may be too active to become a burden.
You simply, he’ll gross
Look at the United States after the 08 crisis with monetary easing policy composite skills, as well as the rate rise before using public opinion market bearish expectations, raising interest rates for the first time means for a smooth landing. Any changes in the economy need to be fully prepared to ensure a smooth transition, or policy of delay and additive effects would be enough to make the new policy circles and even destroyed.
On both the domestic and international markets, we need to do, is not a unipolar or unilateral evaluation and judgment, but diversified, multi-polarization, multi-level, multi-dimensional three-dimensional thinking and analysis, and based on the eyes ears come up with smooth, ambush plan.
Reform of in-depth bone marrow also need has perfect of details completed penetration of path, no what policy on can said is good or bad, if it not after on future overall of full is expected to, not know into of best time, not understand wants to reached of early, and medium-term, effect how, not prepared good reached or up not to target the how amendment, not do prepared to what when on can steering or exit. Fast-changing market that research must be deeply deeply, to scrutinise the policy.
If we think too simple market, the market will take care of us was rude.
Ideas are complex
This year there was an article fire, says look down on Chinese intellectuals. Chinese intellectuals saw is not fire, because they despise each other for a long time.
In 2015, Chinese intellectuals also have their own events, an old lady was awarded the Nobel Prize. But did not immediately become an occasion, commented immediately in accordance with differentiated into both sides of the camp. Think Nobel Prize has no meaning at all, China already has enough strength, does not require any proof. The other side think the Nobel Laureate was a “three noes” status, testifies that there is no power to the cultivation of China scholars.
On both sides are quite convoluted. Treat Award for dirt, give me I am too lazy to, is clearly winning the prize got soft are eligible to say, and that is, although a person an award doesn’t mean anything, number but the international component of the overall prize is for a country’s overall level of research can have a location, if you have the strength, speaks for itself. Did you mean coming black Chinese research? Brick Award for, “three noes” scholars in the United States, and Germany would not get funding and research team, happened in China can be reused and developed for the benefit of contributions, Executive power was undeniable. You are to prove that China’s scientific research system is the best in the world?
Distinction between the camps not only dazzles, also unconscious, discussion will ultimately find, the so-called proposition is properly return false, so-called argued in detail are nothing more than self between beats.
Must be an ability to think
Economics is the most popular word of the year “supply side”. After some modification, structural supply and supply side. However, it turned out, heated disputes. What is the supply side, how not to fall into the rut of neoliberalism, and fell in the trap of demand stimulus, all desire good problem. But mutual accusations, it becomes complicated.
The point is, to criticize each other incredibly distracting, blurring the actual focus of the issue.
The results, still does enshrine new concepts to became a “anything and everything to contain” Golden basket, a lot of economics are also classified as belonging to the demand side supply side. Opponents will be on the supply side will come back, but it seems like change is not supplied, jump things up that have structural problems of demand and supply issues.
Is the prime example of self left mutual fight.
All criticism and completely agree with is the lack of ability to reflect, not intellectual body.
Intellectuals to have independent thinking. Meaning, not only to think independently, and to have the ability to think. We should not fear criticism, this is the inevitable result of independent thinking. However, we should not fear, because if you don’t know what to be sure, what is the basis for your criticism and reference? Can’t say pilots get through without stumbling and what is right and what is wrong, is a sign of lack of judgment. Can’t slice analysis pointed out the correct direction and path design, is a sign of lack of creativity.
All said they were telling the truth, in fact, you even true and false cannot identify. If you’re positioning himself just said what they wanted to say, so you think Ma’s contribution to society is not necessarily better than one Sun.
The society is very complicated
Entrepreneurs this year was a concern. From Li Ka-shing, don’t run drama run or run off, Xu Ming all run away, where are Guo guangchang, Wang ran too fast find it myself, along with anti-corruption in the financial sector into deeper waters, as wave after wave of people to talk about.
When people discovered that the business community has a “Godfather”, simply because behind “Andie” cult collapses, Idol aura fades. Review comes as political and business relations, public opinion has become mature and could be more people. Reconstruction of the entrepreneurial spirit, want to be the “father”, the mental real entrepreneurs spend in business.
US officials have in the past to become entrepreneurs, and entrepreneurs to become scholars, scholars have to cycle for government officials may have to end.
In recent years, scholars are quite popular. Its title was not on the one hand, officials, businesspeople, reticulocyte, star has to seize this “uncrowned king” Crown. On the human resource really isn’t enough, all aspects of forums, meetings, invitations, a think-tank abound.
Also red in this financial “Ponzi scheme”, a famous dispute being played on a precious metal Exchange. Here’s the really weird thing:, a lot of people applauded, he wrote a number of popular jokes circulated widely. Ignite again who is a scholar of controversy.
Certainly cannot be beat for people writing romance, it defines to be a professional scholar, but his mass base is legitimate. For investors, he was more like a “fortune teller”, rather than “knowledge”.
Contrary, the crowd of Schadenfreude, so strange. Doesn’t matter because he’s jealous? His overly jealous? Take credit for him jealous? He enjoy the bustling jealous? This jealousy, envy isn’t once had? Admiration for his overnight fame? Envy of his fame and fortune? Envy of his blind cat hit the dead mouse?
If the thought scholars in China is very typical, academic sad isn’t it? Not sadness for the people of knowledge? Learning in worship, envy, desire to do fortune teller.
I want to be quiet
You don’t have to despise the one who, as you are not a stranger. But now, to learning not to despise the fortune teller, has become very difficult. This is the real issue.
Community to “scholars” demand is so strong, evaluation is often very disappointing. Why is that?
As many of our entrepreneurs and businesses, want the Godfather went away, “father” we care, you must first “Godfather” mechanism cut off. What is the reward and punishment mechanism is what product. Our assessment of academic systems, to determine our ability to get the number and quality of researchers.
If the first cantilever style unit arrived, but their fingers a silver-tongued, who would like to read every night Green Lantern case?
If we of evaluation system, regardless of is internal of also is social overall of, are is to who can has more big of power, and more high of status, and more of wealth, and more ring of reputation to decided who is better of scholars, and not to who is better of scholars to decided who the has more big of power, and more high of status, and more of wealth, and more ring of reputation words, we how can get has learned of Mr?
More and more scholars is a good thing, but I hope not because scholars increasingly easy to do.
In today’s world, connectivity, calm down, maybe all of us can be a scholar. Difficulty is, calm down. Is difficult, there is a better environment, an appropriate mechanism, encourage calm down to. Calm down, it can be a House of gold color ruyu, is reasonable. Real pay and value all real scholars access to peers, this is not just a blessing to the scholar, it is a blessing to the community.
Scholars should fix? Scholars should be defined? This is what scientists issue, which is also the common problems.
How to place everyone, perhaps by all sectors of the business community and other common problems.
Wear a mask,
Unable to kiss you.
Tear away the masks,
In 2015, in the face of the complex, the memories. Tu see this poem to my liking, to complex, and encourage each other.
(Note: the original lattice made haze in the sky for a friend. Important note: it is not for me. ）